Structural analysis of where value migrates as AI commoditises lower layers. Companies, capital flows, and the bottlenecks that decide who keeps the margin.https://durability-curve.pages.dev/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/ai-made-you-faster-it-did-not-make/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/ai-made-you-faster-it-did-not-make/The strange thing about the AI productivity boom is that the people getting faster are not always getting more secure. Speed is becoming the surface. Proof is moving somewhere else.Mon, 04 May 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/i-read-3000-papers-across-12-fields/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/i-read-3000-papers-across-12-fields/Every field discovers them independently. Nobody connects them.Sun, 05 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/is-this-difficulty-load-bearing/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/is-this-difficulty-load-bearing/Before you automate anything, ask what the friction was actually doing.Sun, 05 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/most-verification-is-just-bigger/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/most-verification-is-just-bigger/A confidence score is not evidence. If your eval cannot produce a replayable artefact, it will fail the moment the system can respond to being measured.Fri, 01 May 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/ninety-day-canopy-audit/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/ninety-day-canopy-audit/A roadmap can look productive while most of the work is easy to displace. Run the Substrate Map on the last 90 days and force the next planning decision to change.Sun, 03 May 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/pltr-the-ai-stock-that-has-to-prove/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/pltr-the-ai-stock-that-has-to-prove/A bull/bear thesis for Palantir: not whether AI demand is real, but whether Palantir owns the permission layer between model capability and real-world action.Thu, 30 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/prompting-isnt-writing-its-compilation/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/prompting-isnt-writing-its-compilation/If you treat the prompt as a spec and the model as a renderer, quality stops coming from more words and starts coming from better constraints.Fri, 17 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/right-company-wrong-vector/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/right-company-wrong-vector/A pick is a number. A position is a vector. The post-mortem language we have only knows how to blame the company.Sun, 26 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/start-here-what-survives-when-the/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/start-here-what-survives-when-the/A short front door to the publication: the lens, the reader paths, and the free instruments for making better judgement usable.Sat, 02 May 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-displacement-rate-audit/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-displacement-rate-audit/A five-minute scoring tool for any product, position, architecture, business model, or career bet. Find out what still works after the environment changes.Fri, 01 May 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-engine-underneath-hard-decisions/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-engine-underneath-hard-decisions/Eight stages turn hidden structure into durable knowledge. Most teams run three of them and call it understanding. The other five are where compounding hides.Thu, 07 May 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-five-laws-of-durable-systems/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-five-laws-of-durable-systems/What still has a job after the change? Five tests for seeing what is likely to survive.Wed, 06 May 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-forest-floor-is-the-product/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-forest-floor-is-the-product/Most people are optimising for canopy. The work that survives the next five AI releases is built from the forest floor up.Thu, 23 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-investors-substrate-test/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-investors-substrate-test/Score the substrate beneath any single position in seven minutes. A 5-axis profile and a 0-10 score for any holding. Free.Fri, 24 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-lens-lexicon/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-lens-lexicon/A free two-page reference card defining the ten load-bearing terms behind the durability lens, with tests, examples, and common confusions.Sat, 02 May 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-model-is-not-the-moat/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-model-is-not-the-moat/If frontier capability keeps centralising, the durable edge shifts outward into trust, workflow fit, and the surrounding package.Tue, 14 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-spacex-ipo-is-not-what-you-think/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-spacex-ipo-is-not-what-you-think/The filing will not just price rockets. It will reveal which layer public investors actually own.Tue, 05 May 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-substrate-map/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/the-substrate-map/A free one-page taxonomy and 10-minute exercise for finding the substrate-vs-canopy ratio in your last 90 days of work.Fri, 01 May 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/your-ai-agent-stack-is-solving-the/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/your-ai-agent-stack-is-solving-the/The real setup is not MCP servers, skills, memory files, and subagents. It is the contract stack that decides what an agent may know, do, prove, escalate, and lose.Sat, 09 May 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/youre-not-comparing-models-youre/https://durability-curve.pages.dev/blog/youre-not-comparing-models-youre/Agent benchmarks don't measure models. They measure contracts. Two teams running the same model can publish different scores, and both can be honest.Sun, 19 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT